Operational risk assessment model for city buses

The development of public transport systems presently focuses on sustainability. In this situation, the issue user (passenger) migration has become important to company as a service provider. This paper presents an integrated model operational risk vehicle incapacity, including following: costs incidental repairs, unplanned downtime and resulting from potential migration. results research buses two makes over period 6 years, in mileage range 0–420 000 km. authors have determined regression function estimate optimum life cycle. quality was assessed using criterion maximum cost incapacity being equal current residual value vehicle. confirmed suitability for comparison assessment their reasonably foreseeable cycle balanced carrier-vehicleuser system.